What can you say about the Kansas City Chiefs that hasn't already been said? They are two-time defending AFC champions; they won their first Super Bowl in 50 years when they beat San Francisco in 2019. They have a future hall of fame coach in Andy Reid who has a record of 91-37 since taking over in 2013 and has taken them to two Super Bowls, winning one. They have the most prolific offense in football, led by the most talented quarterback in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes. Since Mahomes replaced Alex Smith in week 17 in 2017, he has won 44 of the 53 games he has started, including Super Bowl LIV, where he was also named MVP. He won the NFL Most Valuable Player award in 2018. His numbers look like something from a video game, over 14,00 career yards,114 touchdowns, and only 24 career interceptions. He is the face of the franchise and will be for the next decade. He has the best tight end in football in Travis Kelce, with over 600 career receptions and 48 touchdowns. He has, in my opinion, the most electrifying receiver in the game and the one guy who keeps defensive coordinators up at night in Tyreek Hill. Hill has 368 career receptions for almost 5,400 yards and 47 touchdowns. He averages almost 15 yards a catch! They ranked number one in total offense in 2020 and number one in passing yards per game (303). If there were an area of concern on the offense, it would be the offensive line. After the release of tackles Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz, the Chiefs will have eight new offensive linemen from a year ago. Free-agent guard Joe Thuney was brought in from New England and tackle Orlando Brown from Baltimore. And Kyle Long, who returns from the NFL after a year of retirement, throw in journeyman tackle Mike Remmers, and this is a unit that is long on experience but may have lost a step or two. If anything does slow this offense down, it will be the lack of continuity and depth along that offensive line.
Defensively the Chiefs ranked in the top half of the NFL in total defense, giving up 358 total yards a game. They allowed 22.6 points a game and was tied for fifth with 16 interceptions. Cris Jones led the team with 7.5 sacks. The Chiefs need Frank Clark to have a bounce-back year; his six sacks and 29 tackles were his lowest totals since his rookie year. The secondary is led by Tyrann Mathieu, who led the team with six interceptions. Giving up less than 23 points a game is going to be enough to win most games with an offense as explosive as the Chiefs.
Kansas City plays seven playoff teams from 2020, four of them at home(Cleveland, Buffalo, Green Bay, and Pittsburgh). Green Bay is the extra game in 2021 on November 7th. The Chiefs play on Sunday night football three times and on Monday night once( Giants). Four of their first six games are against 2020 playoff teams. They play six of their seven playoff teams before their bye in week 11. They finish the season at Cincinnati and at Denver.
First, let me say this is an over-win total or no play at all. It's not good business to root against Kansas City every week. They have consistency at the coaching level along with Andy Reid, offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy enters his ninth season, and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo returns for his third year. Patrick Mahomes has not even entered his prime yet( scary thought), and he is already a Super Bowl champ and league MVP. There are tough road games at Baltimore, Washington, and Tennessee. And they play Green Bay on a short week after Monday night football against the Giants, but Philadelphia, Giants, Cincinnati, and Dallas are all winnable non-division games. Raiders and Chargers will be better, but four wins in the division is a lock. Kansas City is one of the best teams in football; they will playing deep into January again.
Kansas City Chiefs over 12-.